[SMM Daily Coke & Coal Briefing] 20250702

Published: Jul 2, 2025 17:22
[SMM Daily Coke Market Briefing] In terms of supply, most coke producers are still operating at a loss. However, excluding the production cuts in the early stage, production has stabilized recently, and there has been no further decline in coke supply. Meanwhile, the shipment situation of coke producers is moderate, and their own coke inventory continues to decline. Demand side, under the influence of production control policies, SMM pig iron output fell by 4,200 mt this week, but it still remained at a high level. There is still a rigid demand for coke, and some steel mills with low inventory are still restocking. In summary, there are fewer contradictions in the coke market fundamentals, and cost support is solid. The coke market may operate steadily in the short term.

[SMM Daily Commentary on Coal & Coke]

Coking Coal Market:

Linfen's low-sulphur coking coal is quoted at 1,180 yuan/mt. Tangshan's low-sulphur coking coal is also quoted at 1,180 yuan/mt.

In terms of raw material fundamentals, environmental protection checks continue, but some accident-affected mines have entered production resumption phase with output recovery. Correspondingly, downstream purchase enthusiasm has increased, trading activities have resumed, and mine coking coal inventories have declined. In summary, coking plant prices have stabilized in the short term with rebound expectations.

Coke Market:

The nationwide average price for premium metallurgical coke (dry quenching) stands at 1,440 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for quasi-premium metallurgical coke (dry quenching) is 1,300 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for premium metallurgical coke (wet quenching) is 1,120 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for quasi-premium metallurgical coke (wet quenching) is 1,030 yuan/mt.

In terms of supply, most coking plants remain unprofitable, but production has stabilized recently excluding previous cuts. Coke supply shows no further decline, while coke shipments remain moderate with continued inventory destocking at coking plants. On the demand side, SMM pig iron output decreased by 4,200 mt this week under production control policies, though still maintaining high levels with rigid coke demand. Some low-inventory steel mills continue restocking activities. In summary, coke market fundamentals show limited contradictions with solid cost support, suggesting temporary stability in the short term. [SMM Steel]

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